6-month outlook from the Multi-Process Ensemble
City name, ZIP code, or latitude/longitude — example: 38.1 -108.2
Seasonal Outlook · Months 1–6
How much warmer or cooler than average each month is expected to be, in °F. Bars above zero lean warm; bars below lean cool. Dashed lines show the high-to-low range across models — a wider spread means less certainty. In many cases, the best use of this type of data is to note the spread/margins and the trends rather than focusing on the absolute 'mean' value.
How much wetter or drier than average each month is expected to be, in inches. Bars above zero lean wet; bars below lean dry. Dashed lines show the high-to-low range across models — a wider spread means less certainty. In many cases, the best use of this type of data is to note the spread/margins and the trends rather than focusing on the absolute 'mean' value.
A 'confidence metric': The percentage of simulations favoring above-normal temperature (red) or precipitation (green). Values above 50% indicate a tilt toward above-normal conditions; below 50% indicates a tilt toward below-normal. The dashed gray line marks equal chance.